Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Justin Jefferson vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justin Jefferson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.4 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justin Jefferson is the better fantasy play this season.

Justin Jefferson is the better play on a neutral week. 9.4 PPG with 1,055 yards gives a reliable baseline. Tyler Lockett at 6.9 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Justin Jefferson higher, but do not fade Tyler Lockett entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRMinnesota Vikings#37PPG LEADER

Justin Jefferson

PPG

9.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,048

Rec TDs

Targets

141

Bye

Week 6

WRSeattle Seahawks#99

Tyler Lockett

PPG

6.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

548

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Justin Jefferson

Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

9.4 PPG6.9 PPG

17 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Jefferson: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #37 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Justin Jefferson is producing at 43% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Justin Jefferson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Jefferson vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Justin Jefferson and Tyler Lockett is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Minnesota Vikings wide receiver put up 9.4 PPG in 2025 over 17 games; Tyler Lockett of the Seattle Seahawks averaged 6.9 in 15. A 2.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.5 points favors Justin Jefferson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025, while Tyler Lockett drew 72. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Justin Jefferson, even in weeks where Tyler Lockett posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Justin Jefferson sits Week 6 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justin Jefferson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Justin Jefferson outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 43 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Justin Jefferson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Lockett's 15. That durability gap means Justin Jefferson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Justin Jefferson scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Jefferson vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Justin Jefferson	Tyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)	9.4	6.9
Games Played	17	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	160	104
Receptions	84	48
Rec/Game	4.9	3.2
Receiving Yards	1,048	548
Rec Yds/Game	61.6	36.5
Receiving TDs	2	2
Targets	141	72
Target Share/Game	8.3	4.8
Age	26	-
Experience	5 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 10

Summary

9.4 PPG for Justin Jefferson versus 6.9 for Tyler Lockett in 2025. The baseline favors Justin Jefferson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Jefferson or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Jefferson has the edge at 9.4 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Jefferson and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?▾

Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

When are Justin Jefferson and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Justin Jefferson (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justin Jefferson or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Justin Jefferson outscored Tyler Lockett by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.