Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Justin Jefferson vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.8 PPG to Justin Jefferson's 9.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyreek Hill is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tyreek Hill edges Justin Jefferson by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyreek Hill goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRMinnesota Vikings#37

Justin Jefferson

PPG

9.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,048

Rec TDs

Targets

141

Bye

Week 6

WRMiami Dolphins#20PPG LEADER

Tyreek Hill

PPG

10.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

265

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Justin Jefferson

Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

9.4 PPG10.8 PPG

17 GP4 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Jefferson: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #37 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Justin Jefferson is producing at 43% of elite pace and Tyreek Hill at 49%. That ranking gap means Tyreek Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Jefferson vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Justin Jefferson finished the 2025 season at 9.4 PPG over 17 games with the Minnesota Vikings, while Tyreek Hill clocked in at 10.8 across 4 appearances for the Miami Dolphins. A 1.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025, while Tyreek Hill drew 29. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Justin Jefferson, even in weeks where Tyreek Hill posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 6 bye. That means you need a backup plan at wide receiver for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justin Jefferson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Tyreek Hill outscored Justin Jefferson by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Justin Jefferson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means Justin Jefferson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Justin Jefferson scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Justin Jefferson is 6 years younger than Tyreek Hill (26 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Jefferson vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Justin Jefferson	Tyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)	9.4	10.8
Games Played	17	4
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	160	43
Receptions	84	21
Rec/Game	4.9	5.3
Receiving Yards	1,048	265
Rec Yds/Game	61.6	66.3
Receiving TDs	2	1
Targets	141	29
Target Share/Game	8.3	7.3
Age	26	32
Experience	5 yrs	9 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 6

Summary

Tyreek Hill outscored Justin Jefferson by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (10.8 to 9.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Jefferson or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyreek Hill has the edge at 10.8 PPG compared to Justin Jefferson's 9.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?▾

Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

Do Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill share a Week 6 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Justin Jefferson or Tyreek Hill a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Tyreek Hill outscored Justin Jefferson by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.