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Head to Head

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Keenan Allen vs Mike EvansWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Mike Evans is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Keenan Allen's 8.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Mike Evans is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Mike Evans and Keenan Allen are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.3-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRLos Angeles Chargers#45
Keenan Allen
PPG
8.4
Games
17
Rec
81
Rec Yds
777
Rec TDs
4
Targets
122
Bye
Week 7
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers#40PPG LEADER
Mike Evans
PPG
8.7
Games
8
Rec
30
Rec Yds
368
Rec TDs
3
Targets
62
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Keenan Allen
Mike Evans

Head to Head

8.4 PPG8.7 PPG
17 GP8 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Keenan Allen: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #45 at the position). Mike Evans: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #40 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Keenan Allen is producing at 38% of elite pace and Mike Evans at 40%. That ranking gap means Mike Evans carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Keenan Allen vs Mike Evans: The Full Breakdown

Keenan Allen (8.4 PPG) and Mike Evans (8.7 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Keenan Allen played 17 games for the Los Angeles Chargers; Mike Evans suited up 8 times for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

A 0.3-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Target volume is the story here. Keenan Allen saw 122 targets in 2025, while Mike Evans drew 62. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Keenan Allen, even in weeks where Mike Evans posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Keenan Allen sits Week 7 while Mike Evans is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Keenan Allen (age 34) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Mike Evans (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Mike Evans outscored Keenan Allen by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Keenan Allen played 17 games in 2025 compared to Mike Evans's 8. That durability gap means Keenan Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Keenan Allen scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Keenan Allen saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Keenan Allen vs Mike Evans: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatKeenan AllenMike Evans
PPG (Half-PPR)8.48.7
Games Played178
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)14370
Receptions8130
Rec/Game4.83.8
Receiving Yards777368
Rec Yds/Game45.746.0
Receiving TDs43
Targets12262
Target Share/Game7.27.8
Age3432
Experience12 yrs11 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 10

Summary

8.7 PPG for Mike Evans versus 8.4 for Keenan Allen in 2025. The baseline favors Mike Evans, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Keenan Allen or Mike Evans in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Mike Evans has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Keenan Allen's 8.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Keenan Allen and Mike Evans average in 2025?

Keenan Allen averaged 8.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Mike Evans averaged 8.7 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are Keenan Allen and Mike Evans's bye weeks in 2026?

Keenan Allen (LAC) has a bye in Week 7, and Mike Evans (TB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Keenan Allen or Mike Evans a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Mike Evans outscored Keenan Allen by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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