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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Keon Coleman vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Keon Coleman is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Keon Coleman is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Keon Coleman edges Tyler Lockett by 0.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Keon Coleman goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRBuffalo Bills#59PPG LEADER
Keon Coleman
PPG
7.0
Games
12
Rec
38
Rec Yds
404
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 7
WRSeattle Seahawks#99
Tyler Lockett
PPG
6.9
Games
15
Rec
48
Rec Yds
548
Rec TDs
2
Targets
72
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Keon Coleman
Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

7.0 PPG6.9 PPG
12 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Keon Coleman: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #59 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Keon Coleman is producing at 32% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Keon Coleman carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Keon Coleman vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Keon Coleman (7.0 PPG) and Tyler Lockett (6.9 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Keon Coleman played 12 games for the Buffalo Bills; Tyler Lockett suited up 15 times for the Seattle Seahawks.

A 0.1-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Keon Coleman turned 59 targets into 404 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Tyler Lockett converted 72 looks into 548 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Keon Coleman sits Week 7 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Keon Coleman (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Keon Coleman outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Lockett played 15 games in 2025 compared to Keon Coleman's 12. That durability gap means Tyler Lockett contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Keon Coleman scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Tyler Lockett saw 72 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Keon Coleman vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatKeon ColemanTyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)7.06.9
Games Played1215
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)84104
Receptions3848
Rec/Game3.23.2
Receiving Yards404548
Rec Yds/Game33.736.5
Receiving TDs42
Targets5972
Target Share/Game4.94.8
Age23-
Experience1 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 10

Summary

Keon Coleman outscored Tyler Lockett by 0.1 PPG in 2025 (7.0 to 6.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Keon Coleman or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Keon Coleman has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Keon Coleman and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?

Keon Coleman averaged 7.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Keon Coleman and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?

Keon Coleman (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Keon Coleman or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Keon Coleman outscored Tyler Lockett by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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