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Head to Head

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Luke Musgrave vs Trey McBrideWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trey McBride is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.9 PPG to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trey McBride is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Trey McBride outscored Luke Musgrave by 10.1 PPG in 2025 with 11 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Trey McBride is the clear pick. Luke Musgrave profiles as a matchup-dependent tight end who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEGreen Bay Packers#99
Luke Musgrave
PPG
4.8
Games
14
Rec
30
Rec Yds
335
Rec TDs
2
Targets
42
Bye
Week 10
TEArizona Cardinals#1PPG LEADER
Trey McBride
PPG
14.9
Games
17
Rec
126
Rec Yds
1,239
Rec TDs
11
Targets
169
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Luke Musgrave
Trey McBride

Head to Head

4.8 PPG14.9 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Trey McBride: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Luke Musgrave is producing at 22% of elite pace and Trey McBride at 68%. That ranking gap means Trey McBride carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luke Musgrave vs Trey McBride: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Trey McBride put up 14.9 fantasy points per game for the Arizona Cardinals in 2025, while Luke Musgrave managed 4.8 across 14 games with the Green Bay Packers. A 10.1-point weekly edge is substantial at the tight end position.

The per-game difference of 10.1 points favors Trey McBride, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Trey McBride is the volume tight end in this matchup with 126 receptions for 1239 yards, while Luke Musgrave profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Luke Musgrave finds the end zone he out-scores Trey McBride, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Luke Musgrave sits Week 10 while Trey McBride is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Trey McBride is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Luke Musgrave is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Trey McBride (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Trey McBride outscored Luke Musgrave by a projected 172 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Trey McBride played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luke Musgrave's 14. That durability gap means Trey McBride contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Trey McBride scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Trey McBride saw 169 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luke Musgrave vs Trey McBride: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatLuke MusgraveTrey McBride
PPG (Half-PPR)4.814.9
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)67253
Receptions30126
Rec/Game2.17.4
Receiving Yards3351,239
Rec Yds/Game23.972.9
Receiving TDs211
Targets42169
Target Share/Game3.09.9
Age-26
Experience-3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

14.9 PPG for Trey McBride versus 4.8 for Luke Musgrave in 2025. The baseline favors Trey McBride, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luke Musgrave or Trey McBride in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Trey McBride has the edge at 14.9 PPG compared to Luke Musgrave's 4.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luke Musgrave and Trey McBride average in 2025?

Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Trey McBride averaged 14.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 10.1 points per game.

When are Luke Musgrave and Trey McBride's bye weeks in 2026?

Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Trey McBride (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luke Musgrave or Trey McBride a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Trey McBride outscored Luke Musgrave by 10.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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