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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Luther Burden III vs Zay FlowersWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Luther Burden III's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy play this season.

Zay Flowers is the better play on a neutral week. 11.8 PPG with 1,273 yards gives a reliable baseline. Luther Burden III at 7.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Zay Flowers higher, but do not fade Luther Burden III entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRChicago Bears#60
Luther Burden III
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
47
Rec Yds
652
Rec TDs
2
Targets
60
Bye
Week 10
WRBaltimore Ravens#15PPG LEADER
Zay Flowers
PPG
11.8
Games
17
Rec
86
Rec Yds
1,211
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Luther Burden III
Zay Flowers

Head to Head

7.0 PPG11.8 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Zay Flowers: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Luther Burden III is producing at 32% of elite pace and Zay Flowers at 54%. That ranking gap means Zay Flowers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luther Burden III vs Zay Flowers: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Luther Burden III and Zay Flowers for your lineup, you are not alone. Luther Burden III finished the 2025 season at 7.0 PPG for the Chicago Bears (15 games), and Zay Flowers averaged 11.8 for the Baltimore Ravens (17 games).

That 4.8-point weekly advantage for Zay Flowers is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Target volume is the story here. Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025, while Luther Burden III drew 60. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Zay Flowers, even in weeks where Luther Burden III posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Luther Burden III sits Week 10 while Zay Flowers is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Zay Flowers is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Luther Burden III is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Zay Flowers (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Zay Flowers outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 82 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Zay Flowers played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luther Burden III's 15. That durability gap means Zay Flowers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Zay Flowers scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luther Burden III vs Zay Flowers: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatLuther Burden IIIZay Flowers
PPG (Half-PPR)7.011.8
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)105201
Receptions4786
Rec/Game3.15.1
Receiving Yards6521,211
Rec Yds/Game43.571.2
Receiving TDs25
Targets60118
Target Share/Game4.06.9
Age2225
Experience-2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Zay Flowers at 11.8 PPG, 4.8 points per game above Luther Burden III's 7.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luther Burden III or Zay Flowers in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Zay Flowers has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luther Burden III and Zay Flowers average in 2025?

Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Zay Flowers averaged 11.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.8 points per game.

When are Luther Burden III and Zay Flowers's bye weeks in 2026?

Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Zay Flowers (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luther Burden III or Zay Flowers a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Zay Flowers outscored Luther Burden III by 4.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.