Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Mac Jones vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Mac Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Mac Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.3-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

QBSan Francisco 49ers#33PPG LEADER

Mac Jones

PPG

11.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,151

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBMiami Dolphins#35

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Mac Jones

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

11.8 PPG11.5 PPG

11 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Mac Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #33 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Mac Jones is producing at 54% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Mac Jones vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Mac Jones finished the 2025 season at 11.8 PPG over 11 games with the San Francisco 49ers, while Tua Tagovailoa clocked in at 11.5 across 14 appearances for the Miami Dolphins. A 0.3-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Mac Jones threw for 2151 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Mac Jones is off Week 8 and Tua Tagovailoa Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Mac Jones (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Mac Jones outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tua Tagovailoa played 14 games in 2025 compared to Mac Jones's 11. That durability gap means Tua Tagovailoa contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tua Tagovailoa scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Mac Jones vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Mac Jones	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.8	11.5
Games Played	11	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	130	161
Passing Yards	2,151	2,660
Passing TDs	13	20
Pass Yds/Game	195.5	190.0
Rushing Yards	60	43
Rushing TDs	0	0
Total TDs	13	20
TDs/Game	1.2	1.4
Age	27	28
Experience	4 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Mac Jones at 11.8 PPG, 0.3 points per game above Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Mac Jones vs Tua Tagovailoa

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Mac Jones vs Tua Tagovailoa

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Mac Jones or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Mac Jones has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Mac Jones averaged 11.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 11 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Mac Jones (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Mac Jones or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Mac Jones outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.