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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Mack Hollins vs Nico CollinsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nico Collins is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.7 PPG to Mack Hollins's 6.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nico Collins is the better fantasy play this season.

Nico Collins is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 12.7 PPG and 1,132 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Mack Hollins (6.0 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Nico Collins as the starter and Mack Hollins as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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WRNew England Patriots#99
Mack Hollins
PPG
6.0
Games
15
Rec
46
Rec Yds
550
Rec TDs
2
Targets
65
Bye
Week 14
WRHouston Texans#10PPG LEADER
Nico Collins
PPG
12.7
Games
15
Rec
71
Rec Yds
1,117
Rec TDs
6
Targets
120
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Mack Hollins
Nico Collins

Head to Head

6.0 PPG12.7 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Mack Hollins: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Nico Collins: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Mack Hollins is producing at 27% of elite pace and Nico Collins at 58%. That ranking gap means Nico Collins carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Mack Hollins vs Nico Collins: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Nico Collins put up 12.7 fantasy points per game for the Houston Texans in 2025, while Mack Hollins managed 6.0 across 15 games with the New England Patriots. A 6.7-point weekly edge is substantial at the wide receiver position.

A 6.7-PPG gap gives Nico Collins the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025, while Mack Hollins drew 65. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Nico Collins, even in weeks where Mack Hollins posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Mack Hollins sits Week 14 while Nico Collins is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Nico Collins at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Mack Hollins is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Mack Hollins (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Nico Collins (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Nico Collins outscored Mack Hollins by a projected 114 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nico Collins scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Nico Collins is 5 years younger than Mack Hollins (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Mack Hollins vs Nico Collins: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatMack HollinsNico Collins
PPG (Half-PPR)6.012.7
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)90191
Receptions4671
Rec/Game3.14.7
Receiving Yards5501,117
Rec Yds/Game36.774.5
Receiving TDs26
Targets65120
Target Share/Game4.38.0
Age3227
Experience9 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 8

Summary

Nico Collins outscored Mack Hollins by 6.7 PPG in 2025 (12.7 to 6.0). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Mack Hollins or Nico Collins in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nico Collins has the edge at 12.7 PPG compared to Mack Hollins's 6.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Mack Hollins and Nico Collins average in 2025?

Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Nico Collins averaged 12.7 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 6.7 points per game.

When are Mack Hollins and Nico Collins's bye weeks in 2026?

Mack Hollins (NE) has a bye in Week 14, and Nico Collins (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Mack Hollins or Nico Collins a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Nico Collins outscored Mack Hollins by 6.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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