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Head to Head

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MarShawn Lloyd vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

MarShawn Lloyd is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.8 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

MarShawn Lloyd is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. MarShawn Lloyd edges Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, MarShawn Lloyd goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBGreen Bay Packers#99PPG LEADER
MarShawn Lloyd
PPG
6.8
Games
12
Rush Yds
325
Rush TDs
3
Rec
16
Rec Yds
112
Bye
Week 10
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
MarShawn Lloyd
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

6.8 PPG5.5 PPG
12 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

MarShawn Lloyd: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, MarShawn Lloyd is producing at 31% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

MarShawn Lloyd vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

MarShawn Lloyd (6.8 PPG) and Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. MarShawn Lloyd played 12 games for the Green Bay Packers; Nick Chubb suited up 15 times for the Houston Texans.

A 1.3-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. MarShawn Lloyd ran for 325 yards and 3 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: MarShawn Lloyd sits Week 10 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: MarShawn Lloyd (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • MarShawn Lloyd outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to MarShawn Lloyd's 12. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • MarShawn Lloyd scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

MarShawn Lloyd vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatMarShawn LloydNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)6.85.5
Games Played1215
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)8283
Rushing Yards325506
Rush Yds/Game27.133.7
Rushing TDs33
Receptions1613
Receiving Yards11267
Targets020
Total TDs33
Age-30
Experience-7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, MarShawn Lloyd holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 6.8 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, MarShawn Lloyd has the edge at 6.8 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did MarShawn Lloyd and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

MarShawn Lloyd averaged 6.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are MarShawn Lloyd and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

MarShawn Lloyd (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is MarShawn Lloyd or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

MarShawn Lloyd outscored Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.