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Head to Head

Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

MarShawn Lloyd or Nick ChubbWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Nick Chubb in 2026.

MarShawn Lloyd averaged 6.8 PPG in 2025 to Nick Chubb's 5.5, a 1.3 point per game edge. Lloyd posted that edge in only 12 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. MarShawn Lloyd edges Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, MarShawn Lloyd goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBGreen Bay PackersPPG LEADER

MarShawn Lloyd

PPG

6.8

Games

Rush Yds

325

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

112

Bye

Week 10

RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

MarShawn Lloyd

Nick Chubb

Head to Head

6.8 PPG5.5 PPG

12 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

MarShawn Lloyd: Unranked RB. Nick Chubb: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, MarShawn Lloyd is producing at 31% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That per-game gap means MarShawn Lloyd carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

MarShawn Lloyd vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

MarShawn Lloyd (6.8 PPG) and Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. MarShawn Lloyd played 12 games for the Green Bay Packers; Nick Chubb suited up 15 times for the Houston Texans.

A 1.3-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. MarShawn Lloyd ran for 325 yards and 3 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: MarShawn Lloyd sits Week 10 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: MarShawn Lloyd (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•MarShawn Lloyd outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to MarShawn Lloyd's 12. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•MarShawn Lloyd scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

MarShawn Lloyd vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	MarShawn Lloyd	Nick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)	6.8	5.5
Games Played	12	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	82	83
Rushing Yards	325	506
Rush Yds/Game	27.1	33.7
Rushing TDs	3	3
Receptions	16	13
Receiving Yards	112	67
Targets	0	20
Total TDs	3	3
Age	-	30
Experience	-	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, MarShawn Lloyd holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 6.8 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, MarShawn Lloyd has the edge at 6.8 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft MarShawn Lloyd or Nick Chubb in 2026 fantasy football?▾

MarShawn Lloyd is the earlier pick. He averaged 6.8 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Nick Chubb's 5.5, a 1.3 point per game edge over a full season. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did MarShawn Lloyd and Nick Chubb average in 2025?▾

MarShawn Lloyd averaged 6.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are MarShawn Lloyd and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?▾

MarShawn Lloyd (GB) has a bye in Week 10, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is MarShawn Lloyd or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

MarShawn Lloyd outscored Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.