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Head to Head

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Michael Pittman vs Zay FlowersWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Michael Pittman's 9.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy play this season.

Zay Flowers has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.2-PPG advantage is real (11.8 to 9.6), and Zay Flowers's 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Michael Pittman is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#33
Michael Pittman
PPG
9.6
Games
17
Rec
80
Rec Yds
784
Rec TDs
7
Targets
111
Bye
Week 13
WRBaltimore Ravens#15PPG LEADER
Zay Flowers
PPG
11.8
Games
17
Rec
86
Rec Yds
1,211
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Michael Pittman
Zay Flowers

Head to Head

9.6 PPG11.8 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Michael Pittman: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #33 at the position). Zay Flowers: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Michael Pittman is producing at 44% of elite pace and Zay Flowers at 54%. That ranking gap means Zay Flowers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Michael Pittman vs Zay Flowers: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Michael Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 9.6 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Zay Flowers (Baltimore Ravens) came in at 11.8 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Zay Flowers carries a 2.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Michael Pittman turned 111 targets into 784 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Zay Flowers converted 118 looks into 1211 yards and 5 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 13 bye. That means you need a backup plan at wide receiver for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Michael Pittman (age 28) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Zay Flowers (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Zay Flowers outscored Michael Pittman by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Michael Pittman scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Both players share a Week 13 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Michael Pittman vs Zay Flowers: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatMichael PittmanZay Flowers
PPG (Half-PPR)9.611.8
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)163201
Receptions8086
Rec/Game4.75.1
Receiving Yards7841,211
Rec Yds/Game46.171.2
Receiving TDs75
Targets111118
Target Share/Game6.56.9
Age2825
Experience5 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Zay Flowers holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.8 points per game. Michael Pittman averaged 9.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Michael Pittman or Zay Flowers in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Zay Flowers has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Michael Pittman's 9.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Michael Pittman and Zay Flowers average in 2025?

Michael Pittman averaged 9.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Zay Flowers averaged 11.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

Do Michael Pittman and Zay Flowers share a bye week?

Yes, both Michael Pittman and Zay Flowers share a Week 13 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Michael Pittman or Zay Flowers a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Zay Flowers outscored Michael Pittman by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.