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Michael Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Michael Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Michael Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Michael Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRArizona Cardinals#24PPG LEADER
Michael Wilson
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
78
Rec Yds
1,006
Rec TDs
7
Targets
126
Bye
Week 14
WRCarolina Panthers#26
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Michael Wilson
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

10.7 PPG10.5 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Michael Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #24 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Michael Wilson is producing at 49% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Michael Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Michael Wilson finished the 2025 season at 10.7 PPG over 17 games with the Arizona Cardinals, while Tetairoa McMillan clocked in at 10.5 across 17 appearances for the Carolina Panthers. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Michael Wilson turned 126 targets into 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tetairoa McMillan converted 122 looks into 1014 yards and 7 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Michael Wilson is off Week 14 and Tetairoa McMillan Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Michael Wilson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Michael Wilson outscored Tetairoa McMillan by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Michael Wilson scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Michael Wilson saw 126 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Michael Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatMichael WilsonTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)10.710.5
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)182179
Receptions7870
Rec/Game4.64.1
Receiving Yards1,0061,014
Rec Yds/Game59.259.6
Receiving TDs77
Targets126122
Target Share/Game7.47.2
Age2623
Experience2 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 5

Summary

10.7 PPG for Michael Wilson versus 10.5 for Tetairoa McMillan in 2025. The baseline favors Michael Wilson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Michael Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Michael Wilson has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Michael Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Michael Wilson averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Michael Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Michael Wilson (ARI) has a bye in Week 14, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Michael Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Michael Wilson outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.