Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Nick Chubb vs Ray DavisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ray Davis is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.8 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ray Davis is the better fantasy play this season.

Ray Davis has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.3-PPG advantage is real (7.8 to 5.5), and Ray Davis's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Nick Chubb is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

RBBuffalo Bills#99PPG LEADER

Ray Davis

PPG

7.8

Games

Rush Yds

425

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

168

Bye

Week 12

The Edge Chart

Nick Chubb

Ray Davis

Head to Head

5.5 PPG7.8 PPG

15 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Ray Davis: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Nick Chubb (Houston Texans) finished the 2025 season averaging 5.5 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Ray Davis (Buffalo Bills) came in at 7.8 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Ray Davis carries a 2.3-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Ray Davis posted 425 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Nick Chubb sits Week 8 while Ray Davis is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

•Ray Davis outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 39 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Ray Davis scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Nick Chubb	Ray Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.5	7.8
Games Played	15	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	83	117
Rushing Yards	506	425
Rush Yds/Game	33.7	28.3
Rushing TDs	3	3
Receptions	13	22
Receiving Yards	67	168
Targets	20	0
Total TDs	3	4
Age	30	-
Experience	7 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 12

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Ray Davis holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.8 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Ray Davis in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Ray Davis has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Ray Davis average in 2025?▾

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.3 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Ray Davis outscored Nick Chubb by 2.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.