Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Nick Chubb vs Rico DowdleWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Rico Dowdle is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.6 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Rico Dowdle is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Rico Dowdle outscored Nick Chubb by 6.1 PPG in 2025 with 7 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Rico Dowdle is the clear pick. Nick Chubb profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

RBCarolina Panthers#21PPG LEADER

Rico Dowdle

PPG

11.6

Games

Rush Yds

1,076

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

297

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Nick Chubb

Rico Dowdle

Head to Head

5.5 PPG11.6 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Rico Dowdle: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #21 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Rico Dowdle at 53%. That ranking gap means Rico Dowdle carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Rico Dowdle: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two running backs. Rico Dowdle (Carolina Panthers) averaged 11.6 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Nick Chubb (Houston Texans, 5.5 PPG) by 6.1 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 6.1 points favors Rico Dowdle, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one running back to the other.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Rico Dowdle posted 1076 and 6. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Nick Chubb is off Week 8 and Rico Dowdle Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Rico Dowdle is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Nick Chubb is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Rico Dowdle (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

•Rico Dowdle outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 104 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Rico Dowdle played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Rico Dowdle contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Rico Dowdle scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Rico Dowdle caught 39 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Rico Dowdle: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Nick Chubb	Rico Dowdle
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.5	11.6
Games Played	15	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	83	197
Rushing Yards	506	1,076
Rush Yds/Game	33.7	63.3
Rushing TDs	3	6
Receptions	13	39
Receiving Yards	67	297
Targets	20	50
Total TDs	3	7
Age	30	27
Experience	7 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 5

Summary

11.6 PPG for Rico Dowdle versus 5.5 for Nick Chubb in 2025. The baseline favors Rico Dowdle, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Rico Dowdle in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Rico Dowdle has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Rico Dowdle average in 2025?▾

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Rico Dowdle averaged 11.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.1 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Rico Dowdle's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Rico Dowdle (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Rico Dowdle a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Rico Dowdle outscored Nick Chubb by 6.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.