DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Nick Chubb vs Roschon JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Roschon Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.1 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Roschon Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

Roschon Johnson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.6-PPG advantage is real (8.1 to 5.5), and Roschon Johnson's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Nick Chubb is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Nick Chubb and Roschon Johnson in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8
RBChicago Bears#99PPG LEADER
Roschon Johnson
PPG
8.1
Games
14
Rush Yds
445
Rush TDs
4
Rec
22
Rec Yds
168
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Nick Chubb
Roschon Johnson

Head to Head

5.5 PPG8.1 PPG
15 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Roschon Johnson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Roschon Johnson at 37%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Roschon Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Nick Chubb (Houston Texans) finished the 2025 season averaging 5.5 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Roschon Johnson (Chicago Bears) came in at 8.1 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Roschon Johnson carries a 2.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Roschon Johnson posted 445 and 4. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Nick Chubb has his bye in Week 8, and Roschon Johnson rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Roschon Johnson (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Roschon Johnson outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Roschon Johnson's 14. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Roschon Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Roschon Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNick ChubbRoschon Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)5.58.1
Games Played1514
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)83113
Rushing Yards506445
Rush Yds/Game33.731.8
Rushing TDs34
Receptions1322
Receiving Yards67168
Targets200
Total TDs35
Age30-
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Roschon Johnson holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.1 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Nick Chubb vs Roschon Johnson

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Nick Chubb vs Roschon Johnson

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Roschon Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Roschon Johnson has the edge at 8.1 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Roschon Johnson average in 2025?

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Roschon Johnson averaged 8.1 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Roschon Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Roschon Johnson (CHI) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Roschon Johnson a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Roschon Johnson outscored Nick Chubb by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

Fantasy Managers Also Compared

Similar matchups other managers are researching right now.