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Head to Head

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Nick Chubb vs Ty JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nick Chubb is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.5 PPG to Ty Johnson's 5.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nick Chubb is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.3-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBHouston Texans#59PPG LEADER
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8
RBBuffalo Bills#99
Ty Johnson
PPG
5.2
Games
17
Rush Yds
200
Rush TDs
3
Rec
24
Rec Yds
263
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Nick Chubb
Ty Johnson

Head to Head

5.5 PPG5.2 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Ty Johnson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Ty Johnson at 24%. That ranking gap means Nick Chubb carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Ty Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) and Ty Johnson (5.2 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Nick Chubb played 15 games for the Houston Texans; Ty Johnson suited up 17 times for the Buffalo Bills.

A 0.3-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Ty Johnson posted 200 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Nick Chubb sits Week 8 while Ty Johnson is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ty Johnson (age 28, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Nick Chubb outscored Ty Johnson by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ty Johnson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Ty Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ty Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Ty Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNick ChubbTy Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)5.55.2
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)8388
Rushing Yards506200
Rush Yds/Game33.711.8
Rushing TDs33
Receptions1324
Receiving Yards67263
Targets2033
Total TDs35
Age3028
Experience7 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 12

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Nick Chubb at 5.5 PPG, 0.3 points per game above Ty Johnson's 5.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Ty Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nick Chubb has the edge at 5.5 PPG compared to Ty Johnson's 5.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson average in 2025?

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Ty Johnson averaged 5.2 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Ty Johnson (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Ty Johnson a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Nick Chubb outscored Ty Johnson by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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