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Head to Head

Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Nick Chubb or Ty JohnsonWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

It is nearly a coin flip, but lean Nick Chubb over Ty Johnson in 2026.

Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) and Ty Johnson (5.2) finished 2025 separated by under a point per game. Both play running backs, so that per-game gap is the cleanest tiebreaker for a 2026 start or sit.

The Bottom Line

Statistically, Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.3-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBHouston Texans#59PPG LEADER

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

RBBuffalo Bills

Ty Johnson

PPG

5.2

Games

Rush Yds

200

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

263

Bye

Week 12

The Edge Chart

Nick Chubb

Ty Johnson

Head to Head

5.5 PPG5.2 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Ty Johnson: Unranked RB. Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Ty Johnson at 24%. Their per-game production is close enough that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Nick Chubb vs Ty Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) and Ty Johnson (5.2 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Nick Chubb played 15 games for the Houston Texans; Ty Johnson suited up 17 times for the Buffalo Bills.

A 0.3-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Ty Johnson posted 200 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Nick Chubb sits Week 8 while Ty Johnson is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ty Johnson (age 28, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Nick Chubb outscored Ty Johnson by a projected 5 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Ty Johnson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Ty Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Ty Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Ty Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Nick Chubb	Ty Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.5	5.2
Games Played	15	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	83	88
Rushing Yards	506	200
Rush Yds/Game	33.7	11.8
Rushing TDs	3	3
Receptions	13	24
Receiving Yards	67	263
Targets	20	33
Total TDs	3	5
Age	30	28
Experience	7 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 12

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Nick Chubb at 5.5 PPG, 0.3 points per game above Ty Johnson's 5.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Ty Johnson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Nick Chubb has the edge at 5.5 PPG compared to Ty Johnson's 5.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Nick Chubb or Ty Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson come off the board in the same range, so take whichever fits your roster build. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Ty Johnson's 5.2, a gap of under a point. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson average in 2025?▾

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Ty Johnson averaged 5.2 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.3 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Ty Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Ty Johnson (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Ty Johnson a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb outscored Ty Johnson by 0.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.