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Head to Head

Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Nick Chubb or Tyjae SpearsWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Tyjae Spears over Nick Chubb in 2026.

Tyjae Spears averaged 6.9 PPG in 2025 to Nick Chubb's 5.5, a 1.4 point per game edge. Spears's 45-catch receiving role gives him a higher weekly floor in PPR and half-PPR. Both land in Tier 6 at the position, so this is closer than the raw gap suggests.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Tyjae Spears edges Nick Chubb by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyjae Spears goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

RBTennessee Titans#48PPG LEADER

Tyjae Spears

PPG

6.9

Games

Rush Yds

283

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

264

Bye

Week 9

The Edge Chart

Nick Chubb

Tyjae Spears

Head to Head

5.5 PPG6.9 PPG

15 GP13 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Tyjae Spears: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #48 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Tyjae Spears at 31%. That ranking gap means Tyjae Spears carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Tyjae Spears: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Nick Chubb finished the 2025 season at 5.5 PPG over 15 games with the Houston Texans, while Tyjae Spears clocked in at 6.9 across 13 appearances for the Tennessee Titans. A 1.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Tyjae Spears is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 45 targets into 264 yards, while Nick Chubb profiles as a more traditional rusher with 506 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Tyjae Spears carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One scheduling note: Nick Chubb is off Week 8 and Tyjae Spears Week 9. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Tyjae Spears (age 25) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds.

Did You Know?

•Tyjae Spears outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Tyjae Spears's 13. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Nick Chubb scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Tyjae Spears caught 45 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
•Tyjae Spears is 5 years younger than Nick Chubb (25 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Tyjae Spears: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Nick Chubb	Tyjae Spears
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.5	6.9
Games Played	15	13
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	83	90
Rushing Yards	506	283
Rush Yds/Game	33.7	21.8
Rushing TDs	3	2
Receptions	13	45
Receiving Yards	67	264
Targets	20	50
Total TDs	3	2
Age	30	25
Experience	7 yrs	2 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 9

Summary

Tyjae Spears outscored Nick Chubb by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (6.9 to 5.5). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Tyjae Spears in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyjae Spears has the edge at 6.9 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Nick Chubb or Tyjae Spears in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Tyjae Spears is the earlier pick. He averaged 6.9 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Nick Chubb's 5.5, a 1.4 point per game edge over a full season. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Tyjae Spears average in 2025?▾

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyjae Spears averaged 6.9 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Tyjae Spears's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Tyjae Spears (TEN) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Tyjae Spears a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Tyjae Spears outscored Nick Chubb by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.