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Nick Chubb vs Tyler AllgeierWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Allgeier is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.8 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Allgeier is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tyler Allgeier edges Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyler Allgeier goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8
RBAtlanta Falcons#49PPG LEADER
Tyler Allgeier
PPG
6.8
Games
17
Rush Yds
514
Rush TDs
8
Rec
14
Rec Yds
96
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Nick Chubb
Tyler Allgeier

Head to Head

5.5 PPG6.8 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Tyler Allgeier: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #49 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Nick Chubb is producing at 25% of elite pace and Tyler Allgeier at 31%. That ranking gap means Tyler Allgeier carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nick Chubb vs Tyler Allgeier: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Nick Chubb and Tyler Allgeier is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.3 PPG in 2025, this is one of those running back decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG with the Houston Texans across 15 games, and Tyler Allgeier posted 6.8 with the Atlanta Falcons in 17.

When two running backs are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Nick Chubb ran for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns; Tyler Allgeier posted 514 and 8. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Nick Chubb has his bye in Week 8, and Tyler Allgeier rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Tyler Allgeier (age 26) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Allgeier outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tyler Allgeier played 17 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Tyler Allgeier contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tyler Allgeier scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Tyler Allgeier is 4 years younger than Nick Chubb (26 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nick Chubb vs Tyler Allgeier: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNick ChubbTyler Allgeier
PPG (Half-PPR)5.56.8
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)83116
Rushing Yards506514
Rush Yds/Game33.730.2
Rushing TDs38
Receptions1314
Receiving Yards6796
Targets2016
Total TDs38
Age3026
Experience7 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Allgeier holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 6.8 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nick Chubb or Tyler Allgeier in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Allgeier has the edge at 6.8 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nick Chubb and Tyler Allgeier average in 2025?

Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyler Allgeier averaged 6.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are Nick Chubb and Tyler Allgeier's bye weeks in 2026?

Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Tyler Allgeier (ATL) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nick Chubb or Tyler Allgeier a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Tyler Allgeier outscored Nick Chubb by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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