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Head to Head

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Nico Collins vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nico Collins is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.7 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nico Collins is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Nico Collins outscored Tyler Lockett by 5.8 PPG in 2025 with 7 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Nico Collins is the clear pick. Tyler Lockett profiles as a matchup-dependent wide receiver who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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WRHouston Texans#10PPG LEADER
Nico Collins
PPG
12.7
Games
15
Rec
71
Rec Yds
1,117
Rec TDs
6
Targets
120
Bye
Week 8
WRSeattle Seahawks#99
Tyler Lockett
PPG
6.9
Games
15
Rec
48
Rec Yds
548
Rec TDs
2
Targets
72
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Nico Collins
Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

12.7 PPG6.9 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Nico Collins: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #10 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Nico Collins is producing at 58% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Nico Collins carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nico Collins vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Nico Collins and Tyler Lockett is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Houston Texans wide receiver put up 12.7 PPG in 2025 over 15 games; Tyler Lockett of the Seattle Seahawks averaged 6.9 in 15. A 5.8-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 5.8 points favors Nico Collins, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025, while Tyler Lockett drew 72. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Nico Collins, even in weeks where Tyler Lockett posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Nico Collins sits Week 8 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Nico Collins is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Tyler Lockett is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Nico Collins (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Nico Collins outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 99 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nico Collins scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nico Collins vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNico CollinsTyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)12.76.9
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)191104
Receptions7148
Rec/Game4.73.2
Receiving Yards1,117548
Rec Yds/Game74.536.5
Receiving TDs62
Targets12072
Target Share/Game8.04.8
Age27-
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 10

Summary

12.7 PPG for Nico Collins versus 6.9 for Tyler Lockett in 2025. The baseline favors Nico Collins, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nico Collins or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nico Collins has the edge at 12.7 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nico Collins and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?

Nico Collins averaged 12.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 5.8 points per game.

When are Nico Collins and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?

Nico Collins (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nico Collins or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Nico Collins outscored Tyler Lockett by 5.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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