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Nico Collins vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Nico Collins is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.7 PPG to Tyreek Hill's 10.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Nico Collins is the better fantasy play this season.

Nico Collins has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.9-PPG advantage is real (12.7 to 10.8), and Nico Collins's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Tyreek Hill is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRHouston Texans#10PPG LEADER
Nico Collins
PPG
12.7
Games
15
Rec
71
Rec Yds
1,117
Rec TDs
6
Targets
120
Bye
Week 8
WRMiami Dolphins#20
Tyreek Hill
PPG
10.8
Games
4
Rec
21
Rec Yds
265
Rec TDs
1
Targets
29
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Nico Collins
Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

12.7 PPG10.8 PPG
15 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Nico Collins: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #10 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Nico Collins is producing at 58% of elite pace and Tyreek Hill at 49%. That ranking gap means Nico Collins carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Nico Collins vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Nico Collins (Houston Texans) finished the 2025 season averaging 12.7 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Tyreek Hill (Miami Dolphins) came in at 10.8 PPG over 4 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Nico Collins carries a 1.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025, while Tyreek Hill drew 29. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Nico Collins, even in weeks where Tyreek Hill posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Nico Collins is off Week 8 and Tyreek Hill Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Nico Collins (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Nico Collins outscored Tyreek Hill by a projected 32 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nico Collins played 15 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means Nico Collins contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Nico Collins scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Nico Collins saw 120 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Nico Collins is 5 years younger than Tyreek Hill (27 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Nico Collins vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatNico CollinsTyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)12.710.8
Games Played154
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)19143
Receptions7121
Rec/Game4.75.3
Receiving Yards1,117265
Rec Yds/Game74.566.3
Receiving TDs61
Targets12029
Target Share/Game8.07.3
Age2732
Experience4 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Nico Collins holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.7 points per game. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Nico Collins or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Nico Collins has the edge at 12.7 PPG compared to Tyreek Hill's 10.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Nico Collins and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?

Nico Collins averaged 12.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.9 points per game.

When are Nico Collins and Tyreek Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

Nico Collins (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Tyreek Hill (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Nico Collins or Tyreek Hill a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Nico Collins outscored Tyreek Hill by 1.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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