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Ricky Pearsall vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.5 PPG to Ricky Pearsall's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy play this season.

Tetairoa McMillan has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.7-PPG advantage is real (10.5 to 7.8), and Tetairoa McMillan's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Ricky Pearsall is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRSan Francisco 49ers#52
Ricky Pearsall
PPG
7.8
Games
9
Rec
36
Rec Yds
528
Targets
53
Bye
Week 8
WRCarolina Panthers#26PPG LEADER
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ricky Pearsall
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

7.8 PPG10.5 PPG
9 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Ricky Pearsall: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #52 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Ricky Pearsall is producing at 35% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. That ranking gap means Tetairoa McMillan carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ricky Pearsall vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Ricky Pearsall and Tetairoa McMillan are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Ricky Pearsall averaged 7.8 PPG across 9 games with the San Francisco 49ers, while Tetairoa McMillan posted 10.5 PPG in 17 appearances for the Carolina Panthers.

A 2.7-PPG gap gives Tetairoa McMillan the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Ricky Pearsall drew 53. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Ricky Pearsall posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Ricky Pearsall has his bye in Week 8, and Tetairoa McMillan rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Ricky Pearsall (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ricky Pearsall by a projected 46 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Ricky Pearsall's 9. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ricky Pearsall vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatRicky PearsallTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)7.810.5
Games Played917
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)70179
Receptions3670
Rec/Game4.04.1
Receiving Yards5281,014
Rec Yds/Game58.759.6
Receiving TDs07
Targets53122
Target Share/Game5.97.2
Age2523
Experience1 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 5

Summary

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ricky Pearsall by 2.7 PPG in 2025 (10.5 to 7.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ricky Pearsall or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tetairoa McMillan has the edge at 10.5 PPG compared to Ricky Pearsall's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ricky Pearsall and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Ricky Pearsall averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.7 points per game.

When are Ricky Pearsall and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Ricky Pearsall (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ricky Pearsall or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ricky Pearsall by 2.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.