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Russell Wilson vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Russell Wilson is the better play on a neutral week. 14.2 PPG with 3,045 yards gives a reliable baseline. Tua Tagovailoa at 11.5 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Russell Wilson higher, but do not fade Tua Tagovailoa entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#99PPG LEADER
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9
QBMiami Dolphins#35
Tua Tagovailoa
PPG
11.5
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,660
Pass TDs
20
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Russell Wilson
Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

14.2 PPG11.5 PPG
14 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Russell Wilson is producing at 65% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Tua Tagovailoa carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Russell Wilson vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback put up 14.2 PPG in 2025 over 14 games; Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins averaged 11.5 in 14. A 2.7-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.7 points favors Russell Wilson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Russell Wilson threw for 2890 yards and 18 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Russell Wilson sits Week 9 while Tua Tagovailoa is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Russell Wilson outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 46 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Russell Wilson scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Russell Wilson vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatRussell WilsonTua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)14.211.5
Games Played1414
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)199161
Passing Yards2,8902,660
Passing TDs1820
Pass Yds/Game206.4190.0
Rushing Yards15543
Rushing TDs20
Total TDs2020
TDs/Game1.41.4
Age-28
Experience-5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 6

Summary

14.2 PPG for Russell Wilson versus 11.5 for Tua Tagovailoa in 2025. The baseline favors Russell Wilson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Russell Wilson or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Russell Wilson has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?

Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 2.7 points per game.

When are Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?

Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Russell Wilson or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Russell Wilson outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 2.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.