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Ryan Flournoy vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.5 PPG to Ryan Flournoy's 7.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy play this season.

Tetairoa McMillan has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.3-PPG advantage is real (10.5 to 7.2), and Tetairoa McMillan's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Ryan Flournoy is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRDallas Cowboys#55
Ryan Flournoy
PPG
7.2
Games
13
Rec
40
Rec Yds
475
Rec TDs
4
Targets
56
Bye
Week 14
WRCarolina Panthers#26PPG LEADER
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ryan Flournoy
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

7.2 PPG10.5 PPG
13 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Ryan Flournoy: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #55 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Ryan Flournoy is producing at 33% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. That ranking gap means Tetairoa McMillan carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ryan Flournoy vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Ryan Flournoy and Tetairoa McMillan are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Ryan Flournoy averaged 7.2 PPG across 13 games with the Dallas Cowboys, while Tetairoa McMillan posted 10.5 PPG in 17 appearances for the Carolina Panthers.

A 3.3-PPG gap gives Tetairoa McMillan the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Ryan Flournoy drew 56. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Ryan Flournoy posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Ryan Flournoy is off Week 14 and Tetairoa McMillan Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Tetairoa McMillan at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Ryan Flournoy is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Ryan Flournoy (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ryan Flournoy by a projected 56 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Ryan Flournoy's 13. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tetairoa McMillan scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ryan Flournoy vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatRyan FlournoyTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)7.210.5
Games Played1317
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)94179
Receptions4070
Rec/Game3.14.1
Receiving Yards4751,014
Rec Yds/Game36.559.6
Receiving TDs47
Targets56122
Target Share/Game4.37.2
Age2623
Experience1 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 5

Summary

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ryan Flournoy by 3.3 PPG in 2025 (10.5 to 7.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ryan Flournoy or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tetairoa McMillan has the edge at 10.5 PPG compared to Ryan Flournoy's 7.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ryan Flournoy and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Ryan Flournoy averaged 7.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.3 points per game.

When are Ryan Flournoy and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Ryan Flournoy (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ryan Flournoy or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Ryan Flournoy by 3.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.