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Head to Head

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Terrance Ferguson vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

Theo Johnson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (7.0 to 3.3), and Theo Johnson's 5 touchdowns show scoring upside. Terrance Ferguson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TELos Angeles Rams#99
Terrance Ferguson
PPG
3.3
Games
14
Rec
11
Rec Yds
231
Rec TDs
3
Targets
25
Bye
Week 6
TENew York Giants#24PPG LEADER
Theo Johnson
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
45
Rec Yds
528
Rec TDs
5
Targets
74
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Terrance Ferguson
Theo Johnson

Head to Head

3.3 PPG7.0 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Terrance Ferguson is producing at 15% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Theo Johnson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Terrance Ferguson vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Terrance Ferguson (Los Angeles Rams) finished the 2025 season averaging 3.3 fantasy points per game in 14 games. Theo Johnson (New York Giants) came in at 7.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Theo Johnson carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Theo Johnson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 45 receptions for 528 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Theo Johnson, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Terrance Ferguson is off Week 6 and Theo Johnson Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Theo Johnson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Terrance Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Theo Johnson outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Theo Johnson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means Theo Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Theo Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Theo Johnson saw 74 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Terrance Ferguson vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatTerrance FergusonTheo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)3.37.0
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)46105
Receptions1145
Rec/Game0.83.0
Receiving Yards231528
Rec Yds/Game16.535.2
Receiving TDs35
Targets2574
Target Share/Game1.84.9
Age2325
Experience1 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Theo Johnson holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.0 points per game. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Terrance Ferguson or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Theo Johnson has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Terrance Ferguson and Theo Johnson average in 2025?

Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

When are Terrance Ferguson and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Terrance Ferguson or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Theo Johnson outscored Terrance Ferguson by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.