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Tetairoa McMillan vs Tory HortonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.5 PPG to Tory Horton's 8.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy play this season.

Tetairoa McMillan has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.1-PPG advantage is real (10.5 to 8.4), and Tetairoa McMillan's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Tory Horton is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRCarolina Panthers#26PPG LEADER
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5
WRSeattle Seahawks#46
Tory Horton
PPG
8.4
Games
7
Rec
13
Rec Yds
161
Rec TDs
5
Targets
22
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Tetairoa McMillan
Tory Horton

Head to Head

10.5 PPG8.4 PPG
17 GP7 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Tory Horton: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #46 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Tetairoa McMillan is producing at 48% of elite pace and Tory Horton at 38%. That ranking gap means Tetairoa McMillan carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Tetairoa McMillan vs Tory Horton: The Full Breakdown

Tetairoa McMillan and Tory Horton are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG across 17 games with the Carolina Panthers, while Tory Horton posted 8.4 PPG in 7 appearances for the Seattle Seahawks.

A 2.1-PPG gap gives Tetairoa McMillan the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Tory Horton drew 22. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Tory Horton posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Tetairoa McMillan sits Week 5 while Tory Horton is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tory Horton (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tory Horton by a projected 36 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tory Horton's 7. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Tetairoa McMillan scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Tetairoa McMillan vs Tory Horton: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatTetairoa McMillanTory Horton
PPG (Half-PPR)10.58.4
Games Played177
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)17959
Receptions7013
Rec/Game4.11.9
Receiving Yards1,014161
Rec Yds/Game59.623.0
Receiving TDs75
Targets12222
Target Share/Game7.23.1
Age2323
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 11

Summary

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tory Horton by 2.1 PPG in 2025 (10.5 to 8.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Tory Horton in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tetairoa McMillan has the edge at 10.5 PPG compared to Tory Horton's 8.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Tetairoa McMillan and Tory Horton average in 2025?

Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tory Horton averaged 8.4 PPG over 7 games. That is a difference of 2.1 points per game.

When are Tetairoa McMillan and Tory Horton's bye weeks in 2026?

Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5, and Tory Horton (SEA) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Tetairoa McMillan or Tory Horton a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tory Horton by 2.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.