Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Tetairoa McMillan vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.5 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy play this season.

Tetairoa McMillan has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.6-PPG advantage is real (10.5 to 6.9), and Tetairoa McMillan's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Tyler Lockett is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRCarolina Panthers#26PPG LEADER

Tetairoa McMillan

PPG

10.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,014

Rec TDs

Targets

122

Bye

Week 5

WRSeattle Seahawks#99

Tyler Lockett

PPG

6.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

548

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Tetairoa McMillan

Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

10.5 PPG6.9 PPG

17 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Tetairoa McMillan is producing at 48% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. That ranking gap means Tetairoa McMillan carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Tetairoa McMillan vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Tetairoa McMillan and Tyler Lockett are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG across 17 games with the Carolina Panthers, while Tyler Lockett posted 6.9 PPG in 15 appearances for the Seattle Seahawks.

A 3.6-PPG gap gives Tetairoa McMillan the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Tyler Lockett drew 72. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Tyler Lockett posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Tetairoa McMillan sits Week 5 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Tetairoa McMillan at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Tyler Lockett is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 61 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Lockett's 15. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tetairoa McMillan scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Tetairoa McMillan vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Tetairoa McMillan	Tyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.5	6.9
Games Played	17	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	179	104
Receptions	70	48
Rec/Game	4.1	3.2
Receiving Yards	1,014	548
Rec Yds/Game	59.6	36.5
Receiving TDs	7	2
Targets	122	72
Target Share/Game	7.2	4.8
Age	23	-
Bye Week	Week 5	Week 10

Summary

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tyler Lockett by 3.6 PPG in 2025 (10.5 to 6.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tetairoa McMillan has the edge at 10.5 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Tetairoa McMillan and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?▾

Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.6 points per game.

When are Tetairoa McMillan and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Tetairoa McMillan or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Tetairoa McMillan outscored Tyler Lockett by 3.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.