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Head to Head

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Aaron Rodgers vs Baker MayfieldWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield is the better play on a neutral week. 16.0 PPG with 4,075 yards gives a reliable baseline. Aaron Rodgers at 14.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Baker Mayfield higher, but do not fade Aaron Rodgers entirely.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Baker Mayfield

Head to Head

14.2 PPG16.0 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Baker Mayfield at 73%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Baker Mayfield: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Aaron Rodgers and Baker Mayfield is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback put up 14.2 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Baker Mayfield of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged 16.0 in 17. A 1.8-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 1.8 points favors Baker Mayfield, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Baker Mayfield posted 3693 yards and 26 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 9, and Baker Mayfield rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Baker Mayfield outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 31 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Rodgers's 16. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Baker Mayfield is 11 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (31 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Baker Mayfield: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersBaker Mayfield
PPG (Half-PPR)14.216.0
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227272
Passing Yards3,3223,693
Passing TDs2426
Pass Yds/Game207.6217.2
Rushing Yards61382
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs2527
TDs/Game1.61.6
Age4231
Experience20 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 10

Summary

16.0 PPG for Baker Mayfield versus 14.2 for Aaron Rodgers in 2025. The baseline favors Baker Mayfield, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Baker Mayfield in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Baker Mayfield average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.8 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Baker Mayfield's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Baker Mayfield a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Baker Mayfield outscored Aaron Rodgers by 1.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.