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Head to Head

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Aaron Rodgers vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy play this season.

Aaron Rodgers is the better play on a neutral week. 14.2 PPG with 3,374 yards gives a reliable baseline. Davis Mills at 11.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Aaron Rodgers higher, but do not fade Davis Mills entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25PPG LEADER
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Davis Mills

Head to Head

14.2 PPG11.4 PPG
16 GP6 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Aaron Rodgers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Aaron Rodgers and Davis Mills is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback put up 14.2 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Davis Mills of the Houston Texans averaged 11.4 in 6. A 2.8-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.8 points favors Aaron Rodgers, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Aaron Rodgers is off Week 9 and Davis Mills Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Rodgers outscored Davis Mills by a projected 48 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Davis Mills is 15 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (27 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersDavis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)14.211.4
Games Played166
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)22768
Passing Yards3,322915
Passing TDs245
Pass Yds/Game207.6152.5
Rushing Yards6160
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs256
TDs/Game1.61.0
Age4227
Experience20 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 8

Summary

14.2 PPG for Aaron Rodgers versus 11.4 for Davis Mills in 2025. The baseline favors Aaron Rodgers, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Davis Mills in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Rodgers has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Davis Mills average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 2.8 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers outscored Davis Mills by 2.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.