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Head to Head

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Aaron Rodgers vs Jameis WinstonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Jameis Winston's 10.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy play this season.

Aaron Rodgers has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.3-PPG advantage is real (14.2 to 10.9), and Aaron Rodgers's 25 touchdowns show scoring upside. Jameis Winston is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25PPG LEADER
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBCleveland Browns#99
Jameis Winston
PPG
10.9
Games
10
Pass Yds
2,125
Pass TDs
13
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Jameis Winston

Head to Head

14.2 PPG10.9 PPG
16 GP10 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Jameis Winston: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Jameis Winston at 50%. That ranking gap means Aaron Rodgers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Jameis Winston: The Full Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers and Jameis Winston are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG across 16 games with the Pittsburgh Steelers, while Jameis Winston posted 10.9 PPG in 10 appearances for the Cleveland Browns.

A 3.3-PPG gap gives Aaron Rodgers the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Jameis Winston posted 2125 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 9, and Jameis Winston rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Aaron Rodgers at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Jameis Winston is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Jameis Winston (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Rodgers outscored Jameis Winston by a projected 56 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Jameis Winston's 10. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Jameis Winston: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersJameis Winston
PPG (Half-PPR)14.210.9
Games Played1610
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227109
Passing Yards3,3222,125
Passing TDs2413
Pass Yds/Game207.6212.5
Rushing Yards6145
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs2514
TDs/Game1.61.4
Age42-
Experience20 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 10

Summary

Aaron Rodgers outscored Jameis Winston by 3.3 PPG in 2025 (14.2 to 10.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Jameis Winston in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Rodgers has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Jameis Winston's 10.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Jameis Winston average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 3.3 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Jameis Winston's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Jameis Winston (CLE) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Jameis Winston a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers outscored Jameis Winston by 3.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.