Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Justin HerbertWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy play this season.

Justin Herbert has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (17.9 to 14.2), and Justin Herbert's 28 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aaron Rodgers is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25

Aaron Rodgers

PPG

14.2

Games

Pass Yds

3,322

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 9

QBLos Angeles Chargers#10PPG LEADER

Justin Herbert

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,727

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

498

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Aaron Rodgers

Justin Herbert

Head to Head

14.2 PPG17.9 PPG

16 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Justin Herbert at 81%. That ranking gap means Justin Herbert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Justin Herbert: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh Steelers) finished the 2025 season averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) came in at 17.9 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Justin Herbert carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Aaron Rodgers (3322 passing yards, 24 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Aaron Rodgers is off Week 9 and Justin Herbert Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Justin Herbert at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aaron Rodgers is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Justin Herbert outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Justin Herbert scored 28 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Justin Herbert is 14 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (28 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Justin Herbert: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aaron Rodgers	Justin Herbert
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.2	17.9
Games Played	16	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	227	286
Passing Yards	3,322	3,727
Passing TDs	24	26
Pass Yds/Game	207.6	232.9
Rushing Yards	61	498
Rushing TDs	1	2
Total TDs	25	28
TDs/Game	1.6	1.8
Age	42	28
Experience	20 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 9	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Justin Herbert holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.9 points per game. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Justin Herbert in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Herbert has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert average in 2025?▾

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Justin Herbert a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Justin Herbert outscored Aaron Rodgers by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.