Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Kyler Murray edges Aaron Rodgers by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Kyler Murray goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25

Aaron Rodgers

PPG

14.2

Games

Pass Yds

3,322

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 9

QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Aaron Rodgers

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

14.2 PPG15.6 PPG

16 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Aaron Rodgers vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Aaron Rodgers finished the 2025 season at 14.2 PPG over 16 games with the Pittsburgh Steelers, while Kyler Murray clocked in at 15.6 across 5 appearances for the Arizona Cardinals. A 1.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Aaron Rodgers is off Week 9 and Kyler Murray Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Kyler Murray outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Kyler Murray is 14 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (28 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aaron Rodgers	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.2	15.6
Games Played	16	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	227	78
Passing Yards	3,322	962
Passing TDs	24	6
Pass Yds/Game	207.6	192.4
Rushing Yards	61	173
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	25	7
TDs/Game	1.6	1.4
Age	42	28
Experience	20 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 9	Week 14

Summary

Kyler Murray outscored Aaron Rodgers by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (15.6 to 14.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray outscored Aaron Rodgers by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.