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Aaron Rodgers vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.4 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Tyler Shough and Aaron Rodgers are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBNew Orleans Saints#24PPG LEADER
Tyler Shough
PPG
14.4
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,384
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
186
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Tyler Shough

Head to Head

14.2 PPG14.4 PPG
16 GP11 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Aaron Rodgers vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers (14.2 PPG) and Tyler Shough (14.4 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for the Pittsburgh Steelers; Tyler Shough suited up 11 times for the New Orleans Saints.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Tyler Shough posted 2384 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Rodgers sits Week 9 while Tyler Shough is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Shough outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Tyler Shough is 16 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (26 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersTyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)14.214.4
Games Played1611
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227158
Passing Yards3,3222,384
Passing TDs2410
Pass Yds/Game207.6216.7
Rushing Yards61186
Rushing TDs13
Total TDs2513
TDs/Game1.61.2
Age4226
Experience20 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Tyler Shough at 14.4 PPG, 0.2 points per game above Aaron Rodgers's 14.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Shough has the edge at 14.4 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Tyler Shough average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Tyler Shough outscored Aaron Rodgers by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.