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Aidan O'Connell vs Dak PrescottWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.5 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy play this season.

Dak Prescott is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.5 PPG and 4,729 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aidan O'Connell (12.8 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Dak Prescott as the starter and Aidan O'Connell as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBDallas Cowboys#9PPG LEADER
Dak Prescott
PPG
18.5
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,552
Pass TDs
30
Rush Yds
177
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Dak Prescott

Head to Head

12.8 PPG18.5 PPG
13 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Dak Prescott: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #9 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Dak Prescott at 84%. That ranking gap means Dak Prescott carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Dak Prescott: The Full Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell and Dak Prescott are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG across 13 games with the Las Vegas Raiders, while Dak Prescott posted 18.5 PPG in 17 appearances for the Dallas Cowboys.

A 5.7-PPG gap gives Dak Prescott the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Dak Prescott posted 4552 yards and 30 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aidan O'Connell has his bye in Week 10, and Dak Prescott rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dak Prescott at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aidan O'Connell is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Dak Prescott (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Dak Prescott outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 97 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dak Prescott played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Dak Prescott contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dak Prescott scored 32 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Dak Prescott: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellDak Prescott
PPG (Half-PPR)12.818.5
Games Played1317
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166315
Passing Yards2,6504,552
Passing TDs1630
Pass Yds/Game203.8267.8
Rushing Yards68177
Rushing TDs02
Total TDs1632
TDs/Game1.21.9
Age-32
Experience-9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

Dak Prescott outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.7 PPG in 2025 (18.5 to 12.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Dak Prescott in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dak Prescott has the edge at 18.5 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Dak Prescott average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Dak Prescott averaged 18.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.7 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Dak Prescott's bye weeks in 2026?

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Dak Prescott (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Dak Prescott a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Dak Prescott outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.