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Head to Head

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Aidan O'Connell vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray is the better play on a neutral week. 15.6 PPG with 1,135 yards gives a reliable baseline. Aidan O'Connell at 12.8 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Kyler Murray higher, but do not fade Aidan O'Connell entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Kyler Murray

Head to Head

12.8 PPG15.6 PPG
13 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Aidan O'Connell and Kyler Murray is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Las Vegas Raiders quarterback put up 12.8 PPG in 2025 over 13 games; Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals averaged 15.6 in 5. A 2.8-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.8 points favors Kyler Murray, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Aidan O'Connell is off Week 10 and Kyler Murray Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Kyler Murray outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 48 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aidan O'Connell played 13 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Aidan O'Connell contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aidan O'Connell scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellKyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)12.815.6
Games Played135
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)16678
Passing Yards2,650962
Passing TDs166
Pass Yds/Game203.8192.4
Rushing Yards68173
Rushing TDs01
Total TDs167
TDs/Game1.21.4
Age-28
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

15.6 PPG for Kyler Murray versus 12.8 for Aidan O'Connell in 2025. The baseline favors Kyler Murray, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Kyler Murray average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 2.8 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Kyler Murray outscored Aidan O'Connell by 2.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.