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Aidan O'Connell vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.4 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy play this season.

Tyler Shough has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.6-PPG advantage is real (14.4 to 12.8), and Tyler Shough's 13 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aidan O'Connell is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBNew Orleans Saints#24PPG LEADER
Tyler Shough
PPG
14.4
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,384
Pass TDs
10
Rush Yds
186
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Tyler Shough

Head to Head

12.8 PPG14.4 PPG
13 GP11 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Tyler Shough carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aidan O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders) finished the 2025 season averaging 12.8 fantasy points per game in 13 games. Tyler Shough (New Orleans Saints) came in at 14.4 PPG over 11 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Tyler Shough carries a 1.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Tyler Shough posted 2384 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aidan O'Connell sits Week 10 while Tyler Shough is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Shough outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 27 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aidan O'Connell played 13 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Aidan O'Connell contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aidan O'Connell scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellTyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)12.814.4
Games Played1311
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166158
Passing Yards2,6502,384
Passing TDs1610
Pass Yds/Game203.8216.7
Rushing Yards68186
Rushing TDs03
Total TDs1613
TDs/Game1.21.2
Age-26
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Shough holds the PPG edge with solid output at 14.4 points per game. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Shough has the edge at 14.4 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Tyler Shough average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 1.6 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Tyler Shough outscored Aidan O'Connell by 1.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.