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Head to Head

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Alexander Mattison vs Breece HallWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Breece Hall is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.9 PPG to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Breece Hall is the better fantasy play this season.

Breece Hall is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 11.9 PPG and 1,419 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Alexander Mattison (5.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Breece Hall as the starter and Alexander Mattison as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Alexander Mattison
PPG
5.3
Games
14
Rush Yds
255
Rush TDs
2
Rec
14
Rec Yds
95
Bye
Week 10
RBNew York Jets#20PPG LEADER
Breece Hall
PPG
11.9
Games
16
Rush Yds
1,065
Rush TDs
4
Rec
36
Rec Yds
350
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Alexander Mattison
Breece Hall

Head to Head

5.3 PPG11.9 PPG
14 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Alexander Mattison: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Breece Hall: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alexander Mattison is producing at 24% of elite pace and Breece Hall at 54%. That ranking gap means Breece Hall carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alexander Mattison vs Breece Hall: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two running backs. Breece Hall (New York Jets) averaged 11.9 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Alexander Mattison (Las Vegas Raiders, 5.3 PPG) by 6.6 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 6.6-PPG gap gives Breece Hall the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alexander Mattison ran for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns; Breece Hall posted 1065 and 4. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Alexander Mattison is off Week 10 and Breece Hall Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Breece Hall at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Alexander Mattison is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Alexander Mattison (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Breece Hall (age 25) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds.

Did You Know?

  • Breece Hall outscored Alexander Mattison by a projected 112 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Breece Hall played 16 games in 2025 compared to Alexander Mattison's 14. That durability gap means Breece Hall contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Breece Hall scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Breece Hall caught 36 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alexander Mattison vs Breece Hall: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAlexander MattisonBreece Hall
PPG (Half-PPR)5.311.9
Games Played1416
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)74190
Rushing Yards2551,065
Rush Yds/Game18.266.6
Rushing TDs24
Receptions1436
Receiving Yards95350
Targets048
Total TDs26
Age-25
Experience-3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

Breece Hall outscored Alexander Mattison by 6.6 PPG in 2025 (11.9 to 5.3). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alexander Mattison or Breece Hall in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Breece Hall has the edge at 11.9 PPG compared to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alexander Mattison and Breece Hall average in 2025?

Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Breece Hall averaged 11.9 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 6.6 points per game.

When are Alexander Mattison and Breece Hall's bye weeks in 2026?

Alexander Mattison (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Breece Hall (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alexander Mattison or Breece Hall a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Breece Hall outscored Alexander Mattison by 6.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.