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Head to Head

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Alexander Mattison vs Dylan SampsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Alexander Mattison is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.3 PPG to Dylan Sampson's 4.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Alexander Mattison is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Alexander Mattison edges Dylan Sampson by 0.6 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Alexander Mattison goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders#99PPG LEADER
Alexander Mattison
PPG
5.3
Games
14
Rush Yds
255
Rush TDs
2
Rec
14
Rec Yds
95
Bye
Week 10
RBCleveland Browns#99
Dylan Sampson
PPG
4.7
Games
15
Rush Yds
175
Rec
33
Rec Yds
271
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Alexander Mattison
Dylan Sampson

Head to Head

5.3 PPG4.7 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Alexander Mattison: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Dylan Sampson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alexander Mattison is producing at 24% of elite pace and Dylan Sampson at 21%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Alexander Mattison vs Dylan Sampson: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Alexander Mattison and Dylan Sampson is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.6 PPG in 2025, this is one of those running back decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 PPG with the Las Vegas Raiders across 14 games, and Dylan Sampson posted 4.7 with the Cleveland Browns in 15.

When two running backs are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alexander Mattison ran for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns; Dylan Sampson posted 175 and undefined. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alexander Mattison (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Dylan Sampson (age 21) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds.

Did You Know?

  • Alexander Mattison outscored Dylan Sampson by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dylan Sampson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Alexander Mattison's 14. That durability gap means Dylan Sampson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Alexander Mattison scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Dylan Sampson caught 33 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alexander Mattison vs Dylan Sampson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAlexander MattisonDylan Sampson
PPG (Half-PPR)5.34.7
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)7471
Rushing Yards255175
Rush Yds/Game18.211.7
Rushing TDs20
Receptions1433
Receiving Yards95271
Targets040
Total TDs22
Age-21
Experience-1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Alexander Mattison holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 5.3 points per game. Dylan Sampson averaged 4.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alexander Mattison or Dylan Sampson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Alexander Mattison has the edge at 5.3 PPG compared to Dylan Sampson's 4.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alexander Mattison and Dylan Sampson average in 2025?

Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Dylan Sampson averaged 4.7 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

Do Alexander Mattison and Dylan Sampson share a bye week?

Yes, both Alexander Mattison and Dylan Sampson share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Alexander Mattison or Dylan Sampson a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Alexander Mattison outscored Dylan Sampson by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.