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Head to Head

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Alexander Mattison vs Ray DavisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ray Davis is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.8 PPG to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ray Davis is the better fantasy play this season.

Ray Davis has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.5-PPG advantage is real (7.8 to 5.3), and Ray Davis's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Alexander Mattison is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Alexander Mattison
PPG
5.3
Games
14
Rush Yds
255
Rush TDs
2
Rec
14
Rec Yds
95
Bye
Week 10
RBBuffalo Bills#99PPG LEADER
Ray Davis
PPG
7.8
Games
15
Rush Yds
425
Rush TDs
3
Rec
22
Rec Yds
168
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Alexander Mattison
Ray Davis

Head to Head

5.3 PPG7.8 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Alexander Mattison: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Ray Davis: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alexander Mattison is producing at 24% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Alexander Mattison vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Alexander Mattison (Las Vegas Raiders) finished the 2025 season averaging 5.3 fantasy points per game in 14 games. Ray Davis (Buffalo Bills) came in at 7.8 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Ray Davis carries a 2.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alexander Mattison ran for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns; Ray Davis posted 425 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Alexander Mattison is off Week 10 and Ray Davis Week 12. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alexander Mattison (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Ray Davis outscored Alexander Mattison by a projected 43 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ray Davis played 15 games in 2025 compared to Alexander Mattison's 14. That durability gap means Ray Davis contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ray Davis scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alexander Mattison vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAlexander MattisonRay Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)5.37.8
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)74117
Rushing Yards255425
Rush Yds/Game18.228.3
Rushing TDs23
Receptions1422
Receiving Yards95168
Targets00
Total TDs24
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 12

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Ray Davis holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.8 points per game. Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alexander Mattison or Ray Davis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ray Davis has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alexander Mattison and Ray Davis average in 2025?

Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

When are Alexander Mattison and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?

Alexander Mattison (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alexander Mattison or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Ray Davis outscored Alexander Mattison by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.