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Head to Head

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Andy Dalton vs Caleb WilliamsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Andy Dalton's 9.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Caleb Williams outscored Andy Dalton by 8.9 PPG in 2025 with 31 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Caleb Williams is the clear pick. Andy Dalton profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBCarolina Panthers#99
Andy Dalton
PPG
9.8
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,925
Pass TDs
10
Bye
Week 11
QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Andy Dalton
Caleb Williams

Head to Head

9.8 PPG18.7 PPG
10 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Andy Dalton: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Andy Dalton is producing at 45% of elite pace and Caleb Williams at 85%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Andy Dalton vs Caleb Williams: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Andy Dalton (Carolina Panthers, 9.8 PPG) by 8.9 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

The per-game difference of 8.9 points favors Caleb Williams, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Andy Dalton threw for 1925 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Caleb Williams posted 3942 yards and 27 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Andy Dalton is off Week 11 and Caleb Williams Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Caleb Williams is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Andy Dalton is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Andy Dalton (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Caleb Williams outscored Andy Dalton by a projected 151 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Andy Dalton's 10. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Andy Dalton vs Caleb Williams: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAndy DaltonCaleb Williams
PPG (Half-PPR)9.818.7
Games Played1017
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)98318
Passing Yards1,9253,942
Passing TDs1027
Pass Yds/Game192.5231.9
Rushing Yards42383
Rushing TDs03
Total TDs1031
TDs/Game1.01.8
Age-24
Experience-1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 10

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 9.8 for Andy Dalton in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Andy Dalton or Caleb Williams in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Andy Dalton's 9.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Andy Dalton and Caleb Williams average in 2025?

Andy Dalton averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 8.9 points per game.

When are Andy Dalton and Caleb Williams's bye weeks in 2026?

Andy Dalton (CAR) has a bye in Week 11, and Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Andy Dalton or Caleb Williams a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Caleb Williams outscored Andy Dalton by 8.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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