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Head to Head

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Andy Dalton vs Josh AllenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Andy Dalton's 9.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 22.8 PPG and 4,247 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Andy Dalton (9.8 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Josh Allen as the starter and Andy Dalton as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBCarolina Panthers#99
Andy Dalton
PPG
9.8
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,925
Pass TDs
10
Bye
Week 11
QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER
Josh Allen
PPG
22.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,668
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
579
Rush TDs
14
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Andy Dalton
Josh Allen

Head to Head

9.8 PPG22.8 PPG
10 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Andy Dalton: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Andy Dalton is producing at 45% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Andy Dalton vs Josh Allen: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games in 2025, outscoring Andy Dalton (Carolina Panthers, 9.8 PPG) by 13.0 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

Josh Allen carries a 13.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Andy Dalton (1925 passing yards, 10 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

One scheduling note: Andy Dalton is off Week 11 and Josh Allen Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Josh Allen at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Andy Dalton is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Andy Dalton (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Josh Allen outscored Andy Dalton by a projected 221 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Josh Allen played 16 games in 2025 compared to Andy Dalton's 10. That durability gap means Josh Allen contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Andy Dalton vs Josh Allen: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAndy DaltonJosh Allen
PPG (Half-PPR)9.822.8
Games Played1016
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)98365
Passing Yards1,9253,668
Passing TDs1025
Pass Yds/Game192.5229.3
Rushing Yards42579
Rushing TDs014
Total TDs1039
TDs/Game1.02.4
Age-30
Experience-7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Josh Allen holds the PPG edge with elite output at 22.8 points per game. Andy Dalton averaged 9.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Andy Dalton or Josh Allen in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Andy Dalton's 9.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Andy Dalton and Josh Allen average in 2025?

Andy Dalton averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 10 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 13.0 points per game.

When are Andy Dalton and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?

Andy Dalton (CAR) has a bye in Week 11, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Andy Dalton or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Josh Allen outscored Andy Dalton by 13.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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