Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Caleb WilliamsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is the better play on a neutral week. 18.7 PPG with 4,347 yards gives a reliable baseline. Baker Mayfield at 16.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Caleb Williams higher, but do not fade Baker Mayfield entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19

Baker Mayfield

PPG

16.0

Games

Pass Yds

3,693

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

382

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Baker Mayfield

Caleb Williams

Head to Head

16.0 PPG18.7 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Caleb Williams at 85%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Caleb Williams: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Baker Mayfield and Caleb Williams for your lineup, you are not alone. Baker Mayfield finished the 2025 season at 16.0 PPG for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (17 games), and Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 for the Chicago Bears (17 games).

That 2.7-point weekly advantage for Caleb Williams is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Caleb Williams posted 3942 yards and 27 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 10 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 46 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 7 years younger than Baker Mayfield (24 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Caleb Williams: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Baker Mayfield	Caleb Williams
PPG (Half-PPR)	16.0	18.7
Games Played	17	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	272	318
Passing Yards	3,693	3,942
Passing TDs	26	27
Pass Yds/Game	217.2	231.9
Rushing Yards	382	383
Rushing TDs	1	3
Total TDs	27	31
TDs/Game	1.6	1.8
Age	31	24
Experience	7 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Caleb Williams at 18.7 PPG, 2.7 points per game above Baker Mayfield's 16.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Caleb Williams in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Caleb Williams average in 2025?▾

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.7 points per game.

Do Baker Mayfield and Caleb Williams share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Baker Mayfield and Caleb Williams share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Baker Mayfield or Caleb Williams a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Baker Mayfield by 2.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.