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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Jared GoffWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jared Goff is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.5 PPG to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jared Goff is the better fantasy play this season.

Jared Goff has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.5-PPG advantage is real (17.5 to 16.0), and Jared Goff's 34 touchdowns show scoring upside. Baker Mayfield is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBDetroit Lions#12PPG LEADER
Jared Goff
PPG
17.5
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,564
Pass TDs
34
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Jared Goff

Head to Head

16.0 PPG17.5 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Jared Goff: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Jared Goff at 80%. That ranking gap means Jared Goff carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Jared Goff: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Jared Goff (Detroit Lions) came in at 17.5 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Jared Goff carries a 1.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Jared Goff posted 4564 yards and 34 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Baker Mayfield sits Week 10 while Jared Goff is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Jared Goff (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Jared Goff outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 26 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jared Goff scored 34 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.0 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Jared Goff: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldJared Goff
PPG (Half-PPR)16.017.5
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272298
Passing Yards3,6934,564
Passing TDs2634
Pass Yds/Game217.2268.5
Rushing Yards38245
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs2734
TDs/Game1.62.0
Age3131
Experience7 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jared Goff holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.5 points per game. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Jared Goff in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jared Goff has the edge at 17.5 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Jared Goff average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jared Goff averaged 17.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.5 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Jared Goff's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Jared Goff (DET) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Jared Goff a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Jared Goff outscored Baker Mayfield by 1.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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