Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.6-PPG advantage is real (16.0 to 11.4), and Baker Mayfield's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Davis Mills is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER

Baker Mayfield

PPG

16.0

Games

Pass Yds

3,693

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

382

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Baker Mayfield

Davis Mills

Head to Head

16.0 PPG11.4 PPG

17 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Davis Mills (Houston Texans) came in at 11.4 PPG over 6 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Baker Mayfield carries a 4.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Baker Mayfield is off Week 10 and Davis Mills Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Baker Mayfield at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Baker Mayfield outscored Davis Mills by a projected 78 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Davis Mills is 4 years younger than Baker Mayfield (27 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Baker Mayfield	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	16.0	11.4
Games Played	17	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	272	68
Passing Yards	3,693	915
Passing TDs	26	5
Pass Yds/Game	217.2	152.5
Rushing Yards	382	60
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	27	6
TDs/Game	1.6	1.0
Age	31	27
Experience	7 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Baker Mayfield holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 4.6 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield outscored Davis Mills by 4.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.