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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Russell WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Russell Wilson's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.8-PPG advantage is real (16.0 to 14.2), and Baker Mayfield's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Russell Wilson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBPittsburgh Steelers#99
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Russell Wilson

Head to Head

16.0 PPG14.2 PPG
17 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Russell Wilson at 65%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Russell Wilson: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Russell Wilson (Pittsburgh Steelers) came in at 14.2 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Baker Mayfield carries a 1.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Russell Wilson posted 2890 yards and 18 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Baker Mayfield is off Week 10 and Russell Wilson Week 9. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Baker Mayfield outscored Russell Wilson by a projected 31 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Russell Wilson's 14. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Russell Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldRussell Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)16.014.2
Games Played1714
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272199
Passing Yards3,6932,890
Passing TDs2618
Pass Yds/Game217.2206.4
Rushing Yards382155
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs2720
TDs/Game1.61.4
Age31-
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 9

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Baker Mayfield holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Russell Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Russell Wilson's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Russell Wilson average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.8 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Russell Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Russell Wilson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Baker Mayfield outscored Russell Wilson by 1.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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