Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Bo Nix vs Caleb WilliamsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Bo Nix's 17.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Caleb Williams and Bo Nix are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.8-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBDenver Broncos#11

Bo Nix

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,931

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

356

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Bo Nix

Caleb Williams

Head to Head

17.9 PPG18.7 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Caleb Williams at 85%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Bo Nix vs Caleb Williams: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Bo Nix finished the 2025 season at 17.9 PPG over 17 games with the Denver Broncos, while Caleb Williams clocked in at 18.7 across 17 appearances for the Chicago Bears. A 0.8-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Bo Nix threw for 3931 yards and 25 touchdowns, while Caleb Williams posted 3942 yards and 27 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 10 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Bo Nix by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Bo Nix vs Caleb Williams: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Bo Nix	Caleb Williams
PPG (Half-PPR)	17.9	18.7
Games Played	17	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	304	318
Passing Yards	3,931	3,942
Passing TDs	25	27
Pass Yds/Game	231.2	231.9
Rushing Yards	356	383
Rushing TDs	5	3
Total TDs	30	31
TDs/Game	1.8	1.8
Age	26	24
Experience	1 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 17.9 for Bo Nix in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Caleb Williams in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Bo Nix's 17.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Caleb Williams average in 2025?▾

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

Do Bo Nix and Caleb Williams share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Bo Nix and Caleb Williams share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Bo Nix or Caleb Williams a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Bo Nix by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.