DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Dak PrescottWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Dak Prescott's 18.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 10
QBDallas Cowboys#9
Dak Prescott
PPG
18.5
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,552
Pass TDs
30
Rush Yds
177
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Caleb Williams
Dak Prescott

Head to Head

18.7 PPG18.5 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Dak Prescott: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #9 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Dak Prescott at 84%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Caleb Williams vs Dak Prescott: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Caleb Williams finished the 2025 season at 18.7 PPG over 17 games with the Chicago Bears, while Dak Prescott clocked in at 18.5 across 17 appearances for the Dallas Cowboys. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Dak Prescott posted 4552 yards and 30 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Caleb Williams is off Week 10 and Dak Prescott Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Dak Prescott (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Caleb Williams outscored Dak Prescott by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dak Prescott scored 32 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Caleb Williams is 8 years younger than Dak Prescott (24 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Dak Prescott: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCaleb WilliamsDak Prescott
PPG (Half-PPR)18.718.5
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318315
Passing Yards3,9424,552
Passing TDs2730
Pass Yds/Game231.9267.8
Rushing Yards383177
Rushing TDs32
Total TDs3132
TDs/Game1.81.9
Age2432
Experience1 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 18.5 for Dak Prescott in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Caleb Williams vs Dak Prescott

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Caleb Williams vs Dak Prescott

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Dak Prescott's 18.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott average in 2025?

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Dak Prescott averaged 18.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott's bye weeks in 2026?

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Dak Prescott (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Caleb Williams outscored Dak Prescott by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.