Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Josh AllenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Josh Allen is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 22.8 PPG to Caleb Williams's 18.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Josh Allen is the better fantasy play this season.

Josh Allen is the better play on a neutral week. 22.8 PPG with 4,247 yards gives a reliable baseline. Caleb Williams at 18.7 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Josh Allen higher, but do not fade Caleb Williams entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBChicago Bears#8

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBBuffalo Bills#1PPG LEADER

Josh Allen

PPG

22.8

Games

Pass Yds

3,668

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

579

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Josh Allen

Head to Head

18.7 PPG22.8 PPG

17 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Josh Allen: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #1 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Josh Allen at 104%. That ranking gap means Josh Allen carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Josh Allen: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Caleb Williams and Josh Allen for your lineup, you are not alone. Caleb Williams finished the 2025 season at 18.7 PPG for the Chicago Bears (17 games), and Josh Allen averaged 22.8 for the Buffalo Bills (16 games).

That 4.1-point weekly advantage for Josh Allen is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Josh Allen offers meaningful rushing upside with 579 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Caleb Williams (3942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Caleb Williams has his bye in Week 10, and Josh Allen rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Josh Allen is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Caleb Williams is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Josh Allen (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Josh Allen outscored Caleb Williams by a projected 70 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Josh Allen's 16. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Josh Allen scored 39 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Josh Allen added 579 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 6 years younger than Josh Allen (24 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Josh Allen: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Josh Allen
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	22.8
Games Played	17	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	365
Passing Yards	3,942	3,668
Passing TDs	27	25
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	229.3
Rushing Yards	383	579
Rushing TDs	3	14
Total TDs	31	39
TDs/Game	1.8	2.4
Age	24	30
Experience	1 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Josh Allen at 22.8 PPG, 4.1 points per game above Caleb Williams's 18.7. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Josh Allen in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Josh Allen has the edge at 22.8 PPG compared to Caleb Williams's 18.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Josh Allen average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Josh Allen averaged 22.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 4.1 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Josh Allen's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Josh Allen (BUF) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Josh Allen a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Josh Allen outscored Caleb Williams by 4.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.