Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Gardner MinshewWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Caleb Williams outscored Gardner Minshew by 6.3 PPG in 2025 with 31 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Caleb Williams is the clear pick. Gardner Minshew profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Gardner Minshew

PPG

12.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,420

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

125

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Gardner Minshew

Head to Head

18.7 PPG12.4 PPG

17 GP12 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Gardner Minshew: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Gardner Minshew at 56%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Gardner Minshew: The Full Breakdown

Caleb Williams and Gardner Minshew are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Chicago Bears quarterback averaged 18.7 PPG in 2025, a full 6.3 points per game ahead of Gardner Minshew's 12.4 with the Las Vegas Raiders. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

The per-game difference of 6.3 points favors Caleb Williams, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Gardner Minshew posted 2420 yards and 14 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 10 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Caleb Williams is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Gardner Minshew is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Gardner Minshew (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Gardner Minshew by a projected 107 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Gardner Minshew's 12. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Gardner Minshew: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Gardner Minshew
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	12.4
Games Played	17	12
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	149
Passing Yards	3,942	2,420
Passing TDs	27	14
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	201.7
Rushing Yards	383	125
Rushing TDs	3	1
Total TDs	31	15
TDs/Game	1.8	1.3
Age	24	-
Experience	1 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 12.4 for Gardner Minshew in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Gardner Minshew in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Gardner Minshew's 12.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Gardner Minshew average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Gardner Minshew averaged 12.4 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 6.3 points per game.

Do Caleb Williams and Gardner Minshew share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Caleb Williams and Gardner Minshew share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Caleb Williams or Gardner Minshew a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Gardner Minshew by 6.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.