Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Jake BrowningWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Jake Browning's 11.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.7 PPG and 4,347 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Jake Browning (11.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Caleb Williams as the starter and Jake Browning as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#99

Jake Browning

PPG

11.3

Games

Pass Yds

771

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 11

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Jake Browning

Head to Head

18.7 PPG11.3 PPG

17 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Jake Browning: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Jake Browning at 51%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Jake Browning: The Full Breakdown

Caleb Williams and Jake Browning are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Chicago Bears quarterback averaged 18.7 PPG in 2025, a full 7.4 points per game ahead of Jake Browning's 11.3 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Caleb Williams carries a 7.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Jake Browning posted 771 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Caleb Williams has his bye in Week 10, and Jake Browning rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Jake Browning is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Jake Browning (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Jake Browning by a projected 126 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jake Browning's 5. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 6 years younger than Jake Browning (24 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Jake Browning: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Jake Browning
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	11.3
Games Played	17	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	57
Passing Yards	3,942	771
Passing TDs	27	6
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	154.2
Rushing Yards	383	39
Rushing TDs	3	1
Total TDs	31	7
TDs/Game	1.8	1.4
Age	24	30
Experience	1 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Caleb Williams holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.7 points per game. Jake Browning averaged 11.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Jake Browning in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Jake Browning's 11.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Jake Browning average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jake Browning averaged 11.3 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 7.4 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and Jake Browning's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Jake Browning (TB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or Jake Browning a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Jake Browning by 7.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.