Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Caleb Williams vs Jameis WinstonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Jameis Winston's 10.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.7 PPG and 4,347 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Jameis Winston (10.9 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Caleb Williams as the starter and Jameis Winston as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBCleveland Browns#99

Jameis Winston

PPG

10.9

Games

Pass Yds

2,125

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Caleb Williams

Jameis Winston

Head to Head

18.7 PPG10.9 PPG

17 GP10 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Jameis Winston: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and Jameis Winston at 50%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs Jameis Winston: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Caleb Williams put up 18.7 fantasy points per game for the Chicago Bears in 2025, while Jameis Winston managed 10.9 across 10 games with the Cleveland Browns. A 7.8-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

Caleb Williams carries a 7.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while Jameis Winston posted 2125 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Jameis Winston is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. Jameis Winston (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Jameis Winston by a projected 133 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jameis Winston's 10. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs Jameis Winston: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Caleb Williams	Jameis Winston
PPG (Half-PPR)	18.7	10.9
Games Played	17	10
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	318	109
Passing Yards	3,942	2,125
Passing TDs	27	13
Pass Yds/Game	231.9	212.5
Rushing Yards	383	45
Rushing TDs	3	1
Total TDs	31	14
TDs/Game	1.8	1.4
Age	24	-
Experience	1 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Caleb Williams holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.7 points per game. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or Jameis Winston in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Jameis Winston's 10.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and Jameis Winston average in 2025?▾

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 7.8 points per game.

Do Caleb Williams and Jameis Winston share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Caleb Williams and Jameis Winston share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Caleb Williams or Jameis Winston a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Jameis Winston by 7.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.