DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Caleb Williams vs J.J. McCarthyWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to J.J. McCarthy's 12.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 18.7 PPG and 4,347 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. J.J. McCarthy (12.5 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Caleb Williams as the starter and J.J. McCarthy as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Caleb Williams and J.J. McCarthy in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER
Caleb Williams
PPG
18.7
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,942
Pass TDs
27
Rush Yds
383
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 10
QBMinnesota Vikings#32
J.J. McCarthy
PPG
12.5
Games
10
Pass Yds
1,632
Pass TDs
11
Rush Yds
181
Rush TDs
4
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Caleb Williams
J.J. McCarthy

Head to Head

18.7 PPG12.5 PPG
17 GP10 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). J.J. McCarthy: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #32 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Caleb Williams is producing at 85% of elite pace and J.J. McCarthy at 57%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Caleb Williams vs J.J. McCarthy: The Full Breakdown

Caleb Williams and J.J. McCarthy are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Chicago Bears quarterback averaged 18.7 PPG in 2025, a full 6.2 points per game ahead of J.J. McCarthy's 12.5 with the Minnesota Vikings. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Caleb Williams carries a 6.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Caleb Williams threw for 3942 yards and 27 touchdowns, while J.J. McCarthy posted 1632 yards and 11 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Caleb Williams has his bye in Week 10, and J.J. McCarthy rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. J.J. McCarthy is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising. J.J. McCarthy (age 23) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Caleb Williams outscored J.J. McCarthy by a projected 105 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to J.J. McCarthy's 10. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Caleb Williams vs J.J. McCarthy: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCaleb WilliamsJ.J. McCarthy
PPG (Half-PPR)18.712.5
Games Played1710
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)318125
Passing Yards3,9421,632
Passing TDs2711
Pass Yds/Game231.9163.2
Rushing Yards383181
Rushing TDs34
Total TDs3115
TDs/Game1.81.5
Age2423
Experience1 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Caleb Williams holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.7 points per game. J.J. McCarthy averaged 12.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Caleb Williams vs J.J. McCarthy

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Caleb Williams vs J.J. McCarthy

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Caleb Williams or J.J. McCarthy in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to J.J. McCarthy's 12.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Caleb Williams and J.J. McCarthy average in 2025?

Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. J.J. McCarthy averaged 12.5 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 6.2 points per game.

When are Caleb Williams and J.J. McCarthy's bye weeks in 2026?

Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and J.J. McCarthy (MIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Caleb Williams or J.J. McCarthy a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Caleb Williams outscored J.J. McCarthy by 6.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.